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Subject: follow-on question to 'green fountain' scenario
After today's discussion I wanted to try to get a bit more clarity on the 'green content source' discussion, so thought I'd throw out a hopefully simple example. In my area we have quite a bit of local solar. Up until recently net metering was the predominant method for handling any excess, although that is moving towards a direct monetary compensation model and eventually one where all generation is put back to the grid first. Now, the generator (local home, business) gets certs for that green energy put back. Once that energy goes back to the pool, though, I don't believe there is any tracking of how that energy was generated (other than the remaining certs). Are we envisioning a future where that will change and all sources will be tracked through additional mechanisms? [It may be the case that even if power does come from a green source, there is no certificate or tracking because it has not been 'certified', perhaps because there has been no mainstream market established for it, or the certification process is too onerous.] Even if there is tracking, the certs for the above example go off into the financial carbon trading world where their validity and value are manged by a financial mechanism that is a world unto its own, and the energy takes a different route, back to the grid and then on to someone else's home or business. So the financial value of the 'greenness' of this energy has already been used up (by giving certs to the producer). I would therefore assume the cost of that energy to the consumer would be lower [than if it included the certs] because it has no certs included/embedded -- that value has already been realized by someone else. If the certs had not already been utilized, and came with the energy, then the price of this energy would be higher because it would include valuable carbon certs. So, then, going back to the 'green fountain' example, is that consumer looking for utilized or unutilized 'green value', or does it care? Is it driven primarily by economic reasons or altruistic reasons? Another way to pose this, relative to what we're modeling, might be: if the certs have already been utilized, is there still value (and data) to be tracked due to the green source -- other than what went with the value of the certs (this would be, basically, altruistic value)? This assumes the price is adjusted at the time the certs are removed. I felt at the end of the discussion that we may be talking about two entirely different types of scenarios/markets. Any comments/corrections welcome. -Anne
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