RE: [humanmarkup-comment] Re: Economics Conference Example

["Bullard, Claude L (Len)" <clbullar@ingr.com>]

Title: Re: Economics Conference Example

Very interesting reading.  The position of the US is weakened by the overall us-vs-them

tone of the US analysts.  Note that current events will strengthen the position of Japan and the EU with
China poised to play the wildcard.  With an analysis such as this online, the NGOs are able

to ascertain that the US strategy will be to fix agreements prior to the meeting and this

will heighten the mistrust.  Transparency may only exacerbate the situation.  If it

is likely that the next round will go badly, the dominant players can create a pre-conference

in which all players have some stake.  If the US relents on labor and environment openly,

it gives up the moral high ground publicly and is revealed to be only concerned about

sustaining it's economic leadership over the welfare of the third world people.  This

plays to China's strengths, so unless a private agreement about how to manage

them is in place with China and they can be trusted, it is a dangerous strategy.

The simplest strategy in the short term is to reduce the use of deliberate

miscommunications, which the analysis notes, but that should be the main

strategy, not a side-effect or a subtext.

 

HumanML will not be very helpful here unless a micro-analysis of communications

is needed, and even then, it will be difficult to do in real-time.   However, what

you are asking for is a short-term solution and that can be done as you suggest

and will work toward exposing the deliberate use of miscommunication to delay

the GTO processes.  The US is advised that this is a two-edged sword

and given its own ubiquity, any use of such tactics on its own part will also be

revealed and paid greater attention than any other player.  Good for the goose,

good for the gander.

 

A challenge, indeed.

 

len