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Subject: RE: [ubl-dev] ebXML approval retrospective
Fulton, General Inertia indeed holds the key. During the height of the .com thrash corporates were willing to throw $ at anything to do with XML out of fear and panic. Once they realized that instead of a tidalwave they were facing a slow tidal swell - the rush was off - and in-place EDI systems continued to offer hard to beat ROI migration v Maintenance in-situ metrics. AS2 also is a factor - offering low-cost internet delivery with old EDI payloads - bad limitations - but known factors. Now - we see new deployments using ebXML because of the better infrastructure this gives you - but - yes its not just ebXML - its across the board - that just-write-code approaches are proving remarkably resilient - for a lot of reasons we have noted earlier. Once however the newer infrastructure has some proven metrics and success stories - then pressure will once again be on corporates to get caught up in the IT technology race. Peter Fingar has thrown out this piece - but we are yet to see this translate into aggressive adoption as opposed to just-in-time adoption! http://www.mkpress.com/extreme/ DW -------- Original Message -------- Subject: RE: [ubl-dev] ebXML approval retrospective From: Fulton Wilcox <fulton.wilcox@coltsnecksolutions.com> Date: Mon, May 15, 2006 9:42 am To: 'Fraser Goffin' <goffinf@googlemail.com> Cc: ubl-dev@lists.oasis-open.org, xml-dev@lists.xml.org Fraser, From a five-year retrospective viewpoint, I think it is accurate to say that SOA/SOAP has greatly underperformed both "expectations" and, more importantly, its practical potential. If you scanned a large company's environment and relationships to identify where SOA/SOAP would be better than what is being used (often not a high hurdle because what is being used is still fax, phone calls, etc), my guess is that the glass is about 2% full, even if you toss in variants like REST and pure push such as RSS. Whereas ebXML has tended to be overlooked, SOA/Soap has been smothered in "marketing love." The resulting cloud of FUD and positioning messages from both leading edge and trailing edge suppliers and consultants, and some IT quarreling over, say, differences in numeric precision, cost two or three years out of the past five. Besides SOA and ebXML, one can also consider the languishing state of Business Process Management (BPM), which tends to be stuck in corporate niches and pilots, and, a further indignity, has had its three letter acronym hijacked by the "business performance measurement" crowd. The underwhelming adoption of BPM makes it somewhere between rare and infinitesimally unlikely that even a medium sized corporation has implemented an effective trans-functional, widely used workflow process, and that of streamlined workflow helps retard the ROI and adoption of inter-enterprise solutions. Given the synergies among SOA, ebXML and BPM, lags in adoption tend to be mutually reinforcing. Indeed, if one looks at the IT landscape, the number of deserving, but languishing IT advances resembles the air traffic pattern at a major airport during dark and stormy weather - backed up for 500 kilometers. Out in the great world beyond IT standards or even IT folk, we are competing with the delaying tactics perfected by that military genius, General Inertia. The General tends to be quite content with offerings of yesteryear and can employ divide and conquer techniques to hold off the newbies for decades. Where all this becomes a worry is when, for example, we try to streamline the services economy, notably healthcare, because General Inertia stands in the way and, quite accurately, points out the migration costs of moving ahead. Regards, Fulton Wilcox Colts Neck Solutions LLC
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